Before Jan 1, 2027 · KXPERSONUNRETIRE-26VMCM
Before Jan 1, 2027 is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
24¢ current
−4¢Contract brief
If Vince McMahon performs any on-screen character, presenter, creative, hosting, leadership or management role at any World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE) event after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Jan 1, 2027
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$164
Identifier
KXPERSONUNRETIRE-26VMCM-2027
Jun 26, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
26¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$164
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Family volume
$164
Orderbook snapshot
26 / 28¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Vince McMahon performs any on-screen character, presenter, creative, hosting, leadership or management role at any World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE) event after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Identifier
KXPERSONUNRETIRE-26VMCM-2027
Event family
KXPERSONUNRETIRE-26VMCM.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$164
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Before Jan 1, 2027 26¢
Current share
100%
Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · KXPERSONUNRETIRE-26VMCM-2027
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 24% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.