Virginia win at least 5 games this season
5+ wins is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 85¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside Will Virginia win at least.
Price history
96¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If the Virginia college football team has at least 5 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
5+ wins
Rank
#1 of 6
Leader
5+ wins 85¢
Range
2¢-85¢
Family volume
$15
Identifier
KXNCAAFWINS-26UVA-5
Oct 8, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 21h ago
Implied probability
Bid
85¢
Ask
96¢
Spread
11¢
Reported volume
$125
Family rank
#1 of 6
6 outcomes · Will Virginia win at least
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
Family volume
$15
Orderbook snapshot
85 / 96¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Virginia college football team has at least 5 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAFWINS-26UVA-5
Event family
Will Virginia win at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$15
Outcomes
6
Highest price
5+ wins 85¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.