SimpleFunctions

Weston McKennie · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26USA

Weston McKennie is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 13 inside KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26USA.

Price history

7¢ current

2¢
0¢10¢
Jun 9, 2026Jun 19, 2026

Contract brief

If Weston McKennie scores the most goals for USA during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Weston McKennie

Rank

#5 of 13

Leader

Folarin Balogun 71¢

Range

1¢-71¢

Family volume

$820

Identifier

KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26USA-WMCKEN22

Jun 21, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 23m ago

Implied probability

7¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 21, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 23m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#5 of 13

13 outcomes · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26USA

Closes

Jul 27, 2026

Family volume

$820

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 8¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
8¢100
14¢1.3K
30¢1
48¢154
49¢1.2K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Weston McKennie scores the most goals for USA during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 27, 2026

Identifier

KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26USA-WMCKEN22

SF Signal
SF Index
6751.81
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

13503.6%

IY (No)

76.5%

Adj IY

6752%

CRI

13

Overround

0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

13503.6%
76.5%
Adj IY
6752%
13
Overround
0.2%

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.