SimpleFunctions

WILD by KATSEYE have above 90000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week

Above 90K is priced at 30¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 10 inside Will WILD by KATSEYE have above.

Price history

30¢ current

14¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jun 23, 2026Jul 22, 2026

Contract brief

If WILD by KATSEYE has above 90K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 90K

Rank

#9 of 10

Leader

Above 10K 91¢

Range

23¢-91¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-WILD26AUG20-90K

Jul 22, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 9m ago

Implied probability

30¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 22, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 9m ago

Bid

31¢

Ask

39¢

Spread

Reported volume

$108

Family rank

#9 of 10

10 outcomes · Will WILD by KATSEYE have above

Closes

Aug 23, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

31 / 39¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
31¢5
30¢200
5¢13
4¢31
2¢46
AskSize
39¢15
40¢200
69¢6
70¢13
71¢44

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If WILD by KATSEYE has above 90K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 23, 2026

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-WILD26AUG20-90K

SF Signal
SF Index
1264.70
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2529.4%

IY (No)

510.6%

Adj IY

1265%

CRI

2

Overround

4.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2529.4%
510.6%
Adj IY
1265%
2
Overround
4.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.