William Saliba · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26FRA
William Saliba is priced at 8¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26FRA.
Price history
8¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If William Saliba scores a goal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
William Saliba
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Michael Olise 10¢
Range
3¢-10¢
Family volume
$26
Identifier
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26FRA-WSALIBA
Jul 6, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
10¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26FRA
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Family volume
$26
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 13¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If William Saliba scores a goal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Identifier
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26FRA-WSALIBA
Event family
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26FRA.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$26
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Michael Olise 10¢
Current share
0%
Michael Olise
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26FRA-MOLISE
Aurelien Tchouameni
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26FRA-ATCHOUAMENI
Jules Kounde
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26FRA-JKOUNDE
William Saliba
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26FRA-WSALIBA
Maghnes Akliouche
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26FRA-MAKLIOUCHE
Rayan Cherki
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26FRA-RCHERKI
Jean-Philippe Mateta
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26FRA-JMATETA
Marcus Thuram
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26FRA-MTHURAM
N'Golo Kante
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26FRA-NKANTE
Adrien Rabiot
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26FRA-ARABIOT
Manu Kone
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26FRA-MKONE
Warren Zaire-Emery
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26FRA-WZAIREEMERY
Theo Hernandez
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26FRA-THERNANDEZ
Ibrahima Konate
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26FRA-IKONATE
Lucas Digne
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26FRA-LDIGNE
Malo Gusto
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26FRA-MGUSTO
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 8% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.