Will xAI release Grok 5 before Jul 1, 2026?
This contract is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$163
Best sibling
Before October 80¢
Ticker
KXGROK-GROK5-26JUL01
Market snapshot
Before July in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will xAI release Grok 5 before Jul 1, 2026?. The displayed quote is 15¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $108. In the Will xAI release Grok 5 before family, this outcome ranks #3 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC.
Outcome
Before July
Family rank
#3 of 3
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
15¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jul 1, 2026
24h volume
$108
Family context
3 outcomes · Will xAI release Grok 5 before
Quote range
16¢-86¢
Family leader
Before 2027 86¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 4m ago
Venue identifier: KXGROK-GROK5-26JUL01. Family volume: $163.
Price history
15¢ current
−6¢Orderbook snapshot
16 / 17¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXGROK-GROK5-26JUL01
Event family
Will xAI release Grok 5 before.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$163
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Before 2027 86¢
Current share
66%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
scientific
Full indicator table
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