Before Nov 1, 2026 · Will Xi Jinping visit the United States of America before
Before Nov 1, 2026 is priced at 91¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 86¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Will Xi Jinping visit the United States of America before.
Price history
91¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If Xi Jinping has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the United States of America before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Nov 1, 2026
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Before Oct 1, 2026 87¢
Range
86¢-87¢
Family volume
$115
Identifier
KXXIUSA-26JUL07-NOV01
Aug 8, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
86¢
Ask
91¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$33
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · Will Xi Jinping visit the United States of America before
Closes
Nov 1, 2026
Family volume
$115
Orderbook snapshot
86 / 91¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Xi Jinping has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the United States of America before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 1, 2026
Identifier
KXXIUSA-26JUL07-NOV01
Event family
Will Xi Jinping visit the United States of America before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$115
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Before Oct 1, 2026 87¢
Current share
29%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 91% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.