XRP trimmed mean below $1.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026
Below $1.00 is priced at 64¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 70¢ bid, 71¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside Will XRP trimmed mean be below $.
Price history
64¢ current
+61¢Contract brief
If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $1.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Below $1.00
Rank
#1 of 5
Leader
Below $1.00 67¢
Range
1¢-67¢
Family volume
$8K
Identifier
KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26JUN30-100
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
70¢
Ask
71¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#1 of 5
5 outcomes · Will XRP trimmed mean be below $
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$8K
Orderbook snapshot
70 / 71¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $1.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26JUN30-100
Event family
Will XRP trimmed mean be below $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Below $1.00 67¢
Current share
18%
Below $1.00
kalshi · KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26JUN30-100
Below $0.90
kalshi · KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26JUN30-090
Below $0.60
kalshi · KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26JUN30-060
Below $0.70
kalshi · KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26JUN30-070
Below $0.80
kalshi · KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26JUN30-080
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.