SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 20456818 days left

Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

This contract is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

4¢
$7K volume
$2K liquidity
4654% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$147

Best sibling

Gadi Eisenkot 14¢

Ticker

KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-YLEV

Price history

4¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026Apr 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 4¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢500
100¢1.6K
100¢260
3¢59
AskSize
4¢734
9¢1
10¢500
16¢16
18¢200

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Israel after Issuance is Yariv Levin, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2045

Identifier

KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-YLEV

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at .

View counterpart

Event family

KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$147

Outcomes

8

Highest price

Naftali Bennett 45¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

173.1%

IY (No)

0.2%

Adj IY

87%

CRI

32

Overround

-0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

173.1%
0.2%
Adj IY
87%
32
Overround
-0.2%

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