SimpleFunctions

YoungBoy Never Broke Again have above 7M daily views at any point during August 3, 2026 - August 9, 2026

Above 7M is priced at 95¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 95¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside Will YoungBoy Never Broke Again have above.

Price history

95¢ current

+93¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Aug 3, 2026Aug 7, 2026

Contract brief

If YoungBoy Never Broke Again has above 7M Global daily views on YouTube at any point during August 3, 2026 - August 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 7M

Rank

#1 of 6

Leader

Above 7M 95¢

Range

1¢-95¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXYTVIEWSW-YOU26AUG09-7.0M

Aug 7, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 53m ago

Implied probability

95¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 7, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 53m ago

Bid

95¢

Ask

96¢

Spread

24h volume

$4K

Family rank

#1 of 6

6 outcomes · Will YoungBoy Never Broke Again have above

Closes

Aug 11, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

95 / 96¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
95¢679
94¢1.0K
93¢379
68¢130
67¢277
AskSize
96¢34
97¢11K
98¢550
99¢1.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If YoungBoy Never Broke Again has above 7M Global daily views on YouTube at any point during August 3, 2026 - August 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 11, 2026

Identifier

KXYTVIEWSW-YOU26AUG09-7.0M

SF Signal
SF Index
50000.00
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will YoungBoy Never Broke Again have above.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$2K

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Above 7M 95¢

Current share

10%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

19

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Opinionanalysis

Volatility Arbitrage in Prediction Markets: Why Political Favorites Above 60¢ Are Systematically Underconfident

A binary contract at price p has variance p(1-p). Le 2026 (292M trades) finds political markets underconfident at slopes 0.93-1.83 — meaning a 70¢ contract corresponds to a true probability near 83%. Four systematic vol-arb trades follow from the calibration evidence.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.