SimpleFunctions

Women's Pro Basketball Playoff Qualifiers

Las Vegas is priced at 91¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 92¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 15 inside Women's Pro Basketball Playoff Qualifiers.

Price history

91¢ current

+4¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 24, 2026Jun 22, 2026

Contract brief

If Las Vegas qualifies for the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Las Vegas

Rank

#1 of 15

Leader

Las Vegas 92¢

Range

3¢-92¢

Family volume

$63

Identifier

KXWNBAPLAYOFF-26-LV

Jun 22, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 29m ago

Implied probability

91¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 22, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 29m ago

Bid

92¢

Ask

98¢

Spread

Reported volume

$4K

Family rank

#1 of 15

15 outcomes · Women's Pro Basketball Playoff Qualifiers

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Family volume

$63

Orderbook snapshot

92 / 98¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
92¢350
91¢687
90¢222
47¢1.3K
44¢112
AskSize
98¢5
99¢400

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Las Vegas qualifies for the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Identifier

KXWNBAPLAYOFF-26-LV

SF Signal
SF Index
1586.78
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

24.0%

IY (No)

3173.6%

Adj IY

1587%

CRI

12

Overround

5.8%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

24.0%
3173.6%
Adj IY
1587%
12
Overround
5.8%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.