SimpleFunctions

Will Kevin Roy finish top 20 for Wyndham Championship

Kevin Roy is priced at 31¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 45¢ bid, 56¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside Wyndham Championship.

Price history

31¢ current

+21¢
0¢25¢50¢
Aug 3, 2026Aug 8, 2026

Contract brief

If Kevin Roy finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Wyndham Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Kevin Roy

Rank

#8 of 16

Leader

Michael Brennan 98¢

Range

1¢-98¢

Family volume

$270K

Identifier

KXPGATOP20-WYC26-KROY

Aug 8, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 12m ago

Implied probability

31¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 8, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 12m ago

Bid

45¢

Ask

56¢

Spread

11¢

24h volume

$575

Family rank

#8 of 16

16 outcomes · Wyndham Championship

Closes

Sep 6, 2026

Family volume

$270K

Orderbook snapshot

45 / 56¢

Kalshi
11¢ spread
BidSize
45¢233
44¢16
41¢4.5K
29¢1.0K
19¢1.0K
AskSize
56¢7.6K
70¢1.0K
75¢30
80¢1.0K
86¢10K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Kevin Roy finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Wyndham Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 6, 2026

Identifier

KXPGATOP20-WYC26-KROY

SF Signal
SF Index
1584.15
Regime
taker

Browse this series

PGA Championship Top-N Finish Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGATOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1584.1%

IY (No)

1060.5%

Adj IY

1584%

CRI

1

RV

1831%

VR

2.19

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

1584.1%
1060.5%
Adj IY
1584%
1
RV
1831%
VR
2.19
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
20.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.