$5.0000 - $5.2499 · XRP price on Jan 1, 2027?: $
$5.0000 - $5.2499 is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside XRP price on Jan 1, 2027?: $.
Price history
10¢ current
Contract brief
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is between $5.0000-5.2499 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
$5.0000 - $5.2499
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
$1.2500 - $1.4999 21¢
Range
1¢-21¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B50000
Sep 20, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
10¢
Spread
10¢
Reported volume
$67
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · XRP price on Jan 1, 2027?: $
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 10¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is between $5.0000-5.2499 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B50000
Event family
XRP price on Jan 1, 2027?: $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
16
Highest price
$1.2500 - $1.4999 21¢
Current share
—
$1.2500 - $1.4999
kalshi · KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B12500
$1.0000 - $1.2499
kalshi · KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B10000
$1.5000 - $1.7499
kalshi · KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B15000
$2.2500 - $2.4999
kalshi · KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B22500
$3.2500 - $3.4999
kalshi · KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B32500
$5.0000 - $5.2499
kalshi · KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B50000
$0.5000 - $0.7499
kalshi · KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B05000
$0.7500 - $0.9999
kalshi · KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B07500
$2.5000 - $2.7499
kalshi · KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B25000
$3.0000 - $3.2499
kalshi · KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B30000
$4.5000 - $4.7499
kalshi · KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B45000
$2.0000 - $2.2499
kalshi · KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B20000
$2.7500 - $2.9999
kalshi · KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B27500
$4.0000 - $4.2499
kalshi · KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B40000
$4.2500 - $4.4999
kalshi · KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B42500
$1.7500 - $1.9999
kalshi · KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B17500
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 10% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.