DATASET·Hugging Face·CC-BY-4.0
World State Daily (Hugging Face)
Daily end-of-day prediction-market world state from Kalshi + Polymarket
One JSON file per day, each ~500KB and densely structured. Each snapshot contains:
- Consensus probabilities across every market that traded that day
- The SF Index (disagreement, geo-risk, breadth, activity)
- Top-20 edges (thesis-vs-market mispricings)
- Cross-venue divergences (same event priced differently on Kalshi vs Polymarket)
- A human-readable markdown summary
Updated daily at 23:50 UTC. Licensed CC-BY-4.0 — including for commercial LLM training. See Terms §13 for the contractual layer (no competing-rehost clause).
Tags
datasethuggingfaceworld-modelkalshipolymarkettime-series
Related
- DATASET·CC-BY-4.0SF Index History (Hugging Face)Time series of the SF Index — disagreement, geo-risk, breadth, activity
- DATASET·CC-BY-4.0Settled Markets (Hugging Face)Monthly partitions of every settled Kalshi + Polymarket market with outcome + predicted price
- DATASET·CC-BY-4.0World State Daily (Kaggle mirror)Daily prediction-market world state on Kaggle