Will Aaron Glenn win the Coach of the Year

The yield curve for KXNFLCOTY presents a completely flat structure, with all 33 constituent markets sharing an identical tenor of 567 days to resolution. Within this single tenor bucket, YES probabilities range from a low of 1.0% to a high of 11.0%, with the median clustering around 2-5%. The cheapest YES probability is 1.0%, appearing across eight separate markets (KXNFLCOTY-27-AREI, KXNFLCOTY-27-DCAN, KXNFLCOTY-27-DQUI, KXNFLCOTY-27-MALAF, KXNFLCOTY-27-MILAF, KXNFLCOTY-27-MVRA, KXNFLCOTY-27-NSIR, KXNFLCOTY-27-SMCV, KXNFLCOTY-27-SPAY, and KXNFLCOTY-27-TBOW). The most liquid markets—KKUB at 5.0% with $10,988 in 24-hour volume and BSCH at 6.0% with $1,235.28—anchor the mid-range of the probability distribution. The flat tenor structure indicates that this event family consists entirely of outcomes with a fixed 567-day resolution window, preventing any traditional yield curve analysis of temporal expectations. However, the wide dispersion of probabilities across markets at identical tenors suggests significant disagreement about which specific outcome within the event family will occur. The market is not expressing a view about *when* the event happens, but rather *which* constituent outcome is most likely. The concentration of