SimpleFunctions

John Harbaugh · KXNFLCOTY-27

John Harbaugh is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXNFLCOTY-27.

Price history

12¢ current

2¢
10¢
Jun 18, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If John Harbaugh wins the Pro Football AP Coach of the Year in the 2026-2027 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

John Harbaugh

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

John Harbaugh 8¢

Range

1¢-8¢

Family volume

$913

Identifier

KXNFLCOTY-27-JOHAR

Jun 26, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 21m ago

Implied probability

12¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 26, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 21m ago

Bid

Ask

11¢

Spread

24h volume

$55

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLCOTY-27

Closes

Feb 28, 2028

Family volume

$913

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 11¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
8¢1.0K
7¢100
6¢45
5¢103
2¢49
AskSize
11¢250
12¢250
14¢500
15¢30
16¢999

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If John Harbaugh wins the Pro Football AP Coach of the Year in the 2026-2027 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 28, 2028

Identifier

KXNFLCOTY-27-JOHAR

SF Signal
SF Index
342.67
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

685.3%

IY (No)

5.2%

Adj IY

343%

CRI

12

Overround

-0.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

685.3%
5.2%
Adj IY
343%
12
Overround
-0.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.