2027 Best Music (Original Score) Oscar nominations
Dune: Part Three is priced at 56¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 50¢ bid, 57¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 12 inside 2027 Best Music (Original Score) Oscar nominations.
Price history
56¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If Dune: Part Three has been nominated for Best Music (Original Score) at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Dune: Part Three
Rank
#4 of 12
Leader
The Odyssey 79¢
Range
7¢-79¢
Family volume
$362
Identifier
KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-DUN
Jun 26, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
50¢
Ask
57¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
#4 of 12
12 outcomes · 2027 Best Music (Original Score) Oscar nominations
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Family volume
$362
Orderbook snapshot
50 / 57¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Dune: Part Three has been nominated for Best Music (Original Score) at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Identifier
KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-DUN
Event family
2027 Best Music (Original Score) Oscar nominations.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$362
Outcomes
12
Highest price
The Odyssey 79¢
Current share
0%
The Odyssey
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-ODY
Disclosure Day
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-DIS
The Black Ball
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-BLA
Dune: Part Three
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-DUN
Project Hail Mary
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-PRO
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-ADV
Wild Horse Nine
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-WIL
The Social Reckoning
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-SOC
The Drama
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-KRI
Whalefall
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-WHA
The Mandalorian and Grogu
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-MAD
Cry to Heaven
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-CRY
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Computing Liquidity Availability Score from the Orderbook
Step-by-step guide to computing the Liquidity Availability Score in TypeScript and Python, with edge cases for thin orderbooks, missing data, and the warm-cron coverage limitation.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 56% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.