2027 Best Music (Original Score) Oscar nominations
Dune: Part Three is priced at 56¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 50¢ bid, 57¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 12 inside 2027 Best Music (Original Score) Oscar nominations.
Price history
56¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If Dune: Part Three has been nominated for Best Music (Original Score) at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Dune: Part Three
Rank
#4 of 12
Leader
The Odyssey 79¢
Range
7¢-79¢
Family volume
$37
Identifier
KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-DUN
Jun 26, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
50¢
Ask
57¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
#4 of 12
12 outcomes · 2027 Best Music (Original Score) Oscar nominations
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Family volume
$37
Orderbook snapshot
50 / 57¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Dune: Part Three has been nominated for Best Music (Original Score) at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Identifier
KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-DUN
Event family
2027 Best Music (Original Score) Oscar nominations.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$37
Outcomes
12
Highest price
The Odyssey 79¢
Current share
0%
The Odyssey
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-ODY
Disclosure Day
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-DIS
The Black Ball
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-BLA
Dune: Part Three
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-DUN
Project Hail Mary
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-PRO
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-ADV
Wild Horse Nine
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-WIL
The Social Reckoning
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-SOC
The Drama
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-KRI
Whalefall
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-WHA
The Mandalorian and Grogu
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-MAD
Cry to Heaven
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-CRY
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.