2027 Best Music (Original Score) Oscar nominations

30-day trend

Analysis

This represents the likelihood that 'The Odyssey' will receive a nomination for Best Original Score at the 2027 Academy Awards ceremony. The high 94-cent pricing reflects strong early confidence in this film's musical composition earning Academy recognition. The main drivers are the film's critical reception upon wider release, the composer's track record and industry standing, and how the score compares to competing films expected to be in contention. The Oscar nomination voting window—typically held in early 2027—will be the key resolution event, though pre-release screenings and film festival showings over the next months will significantly influence industry perception of the score's quality and its competitive position relative to other nominees.

• ›'The Odyssey' score has generated sufficient early critical or festival buzz to command a 94-cent probability, suggesting backing from informed market participants
• ›The runner-up contract 'Behemoth!' trades at 72 cents, indicating substantial uncertainty about whether 'The Odyssey' will be the nominated film from this selection
• ›Zero 24-hour trading volume on most contracts suggests these prices may reflect stale information rather than recent market repricing
• ›Oscar original score nominations are determined by a voting body with established preferences; the composer's prior nominations and wins, if any, are a measurable factor
• ›The selection of five specific films in this market implies external expectation of competition among these titles; the presence of alternative 48-61 cent contracts indicates material probability mass on other outcomes

What moved the line

• Sep 19The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth↓31pp35→4¢ · Kalshi
• Sep 17Project Hail Mary↓28pp54→26¢ · Kalshi
• Sep 17The Black Ball↓28pp68→40¢ · Kalshi
• Sep 19Project Hail Mary↓20pp35→15¢ · Kalshi
• Sep 18The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth↑19pp16→35¢ · Kalshi

Recently closed in entertainment

• What will be the highest grossing movie in 2026?last 12% · 1d
• Will Winds of Winter be announced?last 39% · 1d
• Will Beyonce release new album before Jun 1, 2027last 82% · 10d
• Will Nick Offerman win Movie/Limited Supporting Actor at the Emmy Awardslast 47% · 19d
• Will Swiped win TV Movie at the Emmy Awardslast 20% · 19d

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds