2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations
Primetime is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside 2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations.
Price history
13¢ current
−18¢Contract brief
If Primetime has been nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Primetime
Rank
#15 of 16
Leader
The Odyssey 95¢
Range
1¢-95¢
Family volume
$20K
Identifier
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-PRI
Sep 6, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
9¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#15 of 16
16 outcomes · 2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Family volume
$20K
Orderbook snapshot
9 / 13¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Primetime has been nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Identifier
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-PRI
Event family
2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$20K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
The Odyssey 95¢
Current share
11%
The Odyssey
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-ODY
Project Hail Mary
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-PRO
Dune: Part Three
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-DUN
The Black Ball
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-BLA
Fjord
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-FJO
Digger
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-DIG
The Invite
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-INV
Behemoth
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-BEH
Elsinore
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-ELS
The Debut
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-DEB
Obsession
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-OBS
Club Kid
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-CLU
Ink
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-INK
The Social Reckoning
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-SOC
Primetime
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-PRI
Possible Love
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-POS
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.