SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 above $2.50 in November 2026

Above $2.50 is priced at 76¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 84¢ bid, 88¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 11 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $.

Price history

76¢ current

+8¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jul 29, 2026Aug 19, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $2.5 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $2.50

Rank

#3 of 11

Leader

Above $1.50 93¢

Range

28¢-93¢

Family volume

$321

Identifier

KXH200MS-26NOV-2.500

Aug 20, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 15m ago

Implied probability

76¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 20, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 15m ago

Bid

84¢

Ask

88¢

Spread

Reported volume

$1K

Family rank

#3 of 11

11 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $

Closes

Dec 1, 2026

Family volume

$321

Orderbook snapshot

84 / 88¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
84¢152
83¢200
3¢50
2¢12K
AskSize
88¢141
90¢300
93¢200
95¢53
96¢3.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $2.5 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 1, 2026

Identifier

KXH200MS-26NOV-2.500

SF Signal
SF Index
930.84
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXH series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

67.5%

IY (No)

1861.7%

Adj IY

931%

CRI

5

Overround

5.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

67.5%
1861.7%
Adj IY
931%
5
Overround
5.9%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.