Above 80000 jobs added in June 2026
Above 80,000 is priced at 65¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 62¢ bid, 64¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 15 inside KXPAYROLLS-26JUN.
Price history
65¢ current
+23¢Contract brief
If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 80000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 80,000
Rank
#10 of 15
Leader
Above -25,000 95¢
Range
12¢-95¢
Family volume
$11K
Identifier
KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T80000
Jun 23, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
62¢
Ask
64¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#10 of 15
15 outcomes · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN
Closes
Jul 2, 2026
Family volume
$11K
Orderbook snapshot
62 / 64¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 80000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 2, 2026
Identifier
KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T80000
Event family
KXPAYROLLS-26JUN.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$11K
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Above -25,000 95¢
Current share
9%
Above -25,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T-25000
Above 0
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T0
Above 10,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T10000
Above 20,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T20000
Above 30,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T30000
Above 40,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T40000
Above 50,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T50000
Above 60,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T60000
Above 70,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T70000
Above 80,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T80000
Above 90,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T90000
Above 100,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T100000
Above 125,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T125000
Above 150,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T150000
Above 175,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T175000
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
data_release
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.