Will Stuart Grehan make the cut for The Open Championship
Stuart Grehan is priced at 55¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 92¢ ask, 74¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside The Open Championship.
Price history
55¢ current
Contract brief
If Stuart Grehan has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Stuart Grehan
Rank
#10 of 16
Leader
Bud Cauley 92¢
Range
1¢-92¢
Family volume
$34
Identifier
KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-SGRE
Jun 29, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
18¢
Ask
92¢
Spread
74¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#10 of 16
16 outcomes · The Open Championship
Closes
Aug 2, 2026
Family volume
$34
Orderbook snapshot
18 / 92¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Stuart Grehan has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 2, 2026
Identifier
KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-SGRE
Event family
The Open Championship.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$34
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Bud Cauley 92¢
Current share
0%
Bud Cauley
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-BCAU
Ben Griffin
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-BGRI
Kurt Kitayama
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-KKIT
Gary Woodland
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-GWOO
Kristoffer Reitan
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-KREI
Matt Fitzpatrick
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-MFIT
Aaron Rai
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-ARAI
Justin Thomas
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-JTHO
Scottie Scheffler
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-SSCH
Stuart Grehan
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-SGRE
Ludvig Aberg
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-LABE
Bryson DeChambeau
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-BDEC
Jackson Koivun
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-JKOI
Angel Ayora Fanegas
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-AAYO
Brooks Koepka
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-BKOE
Cameron Young
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-CAME
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.