SimpleFunctions

Will Angel Ayora Fanegas make the cut for The Open Championship

Angel Ayora Fanegas is priced at 47¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 92¢ ask, 91¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 6 inside The Open Championship.

Price history

47¢ current

45¢50¢
Jun 24, 2026Jun 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Angel Ayora Fanegas has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Angel Ayora Fanegas

Rank

#4 of 6

Leader

Scottie Scheffler 61¢

Range

1¢-61¢

Family volume

$12

Identifier

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-AAYO

Jun 24, 2026, 4:58 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

47¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jun 24, 2026, 4:58 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

92¢

Spread

91¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#4 of 6

6 outcomes · The Open Championship

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Family volume

$12

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 92¢

Kalshi
91¢ spread
BidSize
100¢2.2K
AskSize
92¢25
99¢183

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Angel Ayora Fanegas has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Identifier

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-AAYO

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

The Open Championship.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$12

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Scottie Scheffler 61¢

Current share

0%

Browse this series

PGA Championship Cut Made Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGAMAKECUT series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.