Sydney Swans to win Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans
Sydney Swans is priced at 65¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 63¢ bid, 64¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans winner.
Price history
65¢ current
+59¢Contract brief
If Sydney Swans wins the Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans professional AFL game originally scheduled for Jul 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Sydney Swans
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Sydney Swans 63¢
Range
35¢-63¢
Family volume
$13
Identifier
KXAFLGAME-26JUL170540ADESYD-SYD
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
63¢
Ask
64¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$3
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans winner
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Family volume
$13
Orderbook snapshot
63 / 64¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Sydney Swans wins the Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans professional AFL game originally scheduled for Jul 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Identifier
KXAFLGAME-26JUL170540ADESYD-SYD
Event family
Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$13
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Sydney Swans 63¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.