Tie to win Alaves vs Getafe
Tie is priced at 34¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 33¢ bid, 35¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Alaves vs Getafe Winner.
Price history
34¢ current
+28¢Contract brief
If Tie is the result of the Alaves vs Getafe professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tie
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Alaves 40¢
Range
25¢-40¢
Family volume
$217
Identifier
KXLALIGAGAME-26AUG15ALAGET-TIE
Aug 10, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
33¢
Ask
35¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$77
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Alaves vs Getafe Winner
Closes
Aug 17, 2026
Family volume
$217
Orderbook snapshot
33 / 35¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tie is the result of the Alaves vs Getafe professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 17, 2026
Identifier
KXLALIGAGAME-26AUG15ALAGET-TIE
Event family
Alaves vs Getafe Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$217
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Alaves 40¢
Current share
0%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.