SimpleFunctions

Anthony Richardson Sr. records 750+ passing yards

Anthony Richardson Sr. records 750+ passing yards is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 82¢ ask, 72¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 9 inside KXNFLTSPEC-27IND.

Price history

8¢ current

39¢
0¢25¢50¢
Aug 21, 2026Sep 19, 2026

Contract brief

If Anthony Richardson Sr. records 750+ passing yards in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Anthony Richardson Sr. records 750+ passing yards

Rank

#1 of 9

Leader

Anthony Richardson Sr. records 750+ passing yards 7¢

Range

3¢-7¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNFLTSPEC-27IND-ARICHARDSON5PY750

Sep 20, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 45m ago

Implied probability

8¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 20, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 45m ago

Bid

10¢

Ask

82¢

Spread

72¢

Reported volume

$3K

Family rank

#1 of 9

9 outcomes · KXNFLTSPEC-27IND

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 82¢

Kalshi
72¢ spread
BidSize
10¢5
6¢8
5¢2
3¢3
2¢177
AskSize
82¢5
83¢26
95¢2
97¢3
98¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Anthony Richardson Sr. records 750+ passing yards in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLTSPEC-27IND-ARICHARDSON5PY750

SF Signal
SF Index
0.00
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4051.1%

IY (No)

23.0%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

13

Overround

-0.7%

LAS

10.71

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4051.1%
23.0%
Adj IY
0%
13
Overround
-0.7%
LAS
10.71

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.