Daniel Jones records 4+ passing touchdowns in a single game
Daniel Jones records 4+ passing touchdowns in a single game is priced at 26¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 9 inside KXNFLTSPEC-27IND.
Price history
26¢ current
+24¢Contract brief
If Daniel Jones records 4+ passing touchdowns in a single game in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Daniel Jones records 4+ passing touchdowns in a single game
Rank
#4 of 9
Leader
Jonathan Taylor scores 3+ touchdowns in a single game 38¢
Range
6¢-38¢
Family volume
$46
Identifier
KXNFLTSPEC-27IND-DJONES17PTD4
Sep 14, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
21¢
Ask
30¢
Spread
9¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#4 of 9
9 outcomes · KXNFLTSPEC-27IND
Closes
Jan 18, 2027
Family volume
$46
Orderbook snapshot
21 / 30¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Daniel Jones records 4+ passing touchdowns in a single game in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 18, 2027
Identifier
KXNFLTSPEC-27IND-DJONES17PTD4
Event family
KXNFLTSPEC-27IND.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$46
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Jonathan Taylor scores 3+ touchdowns in a single game 38¢
Current share
0%
Jonathan Taylor scores 3+ touchdowns in a single game
kalshi · KXNFLTSPEC-27IND-JTAYLOR28TD3
Jonathan Taylor records 200+ rushing yards in a single game
kalshi · KXNFLTSPEC-27IND-JTAYLOR28RUY200
Alec Pierce records 150+ receiving yards in a single game
kalshi · KXNFLTSPEC-27IND-APIERCE14RY150
Daniel Jones records 4+ passing touchdowns in a single game
kalshi · KXNFLTSPEC-27IND-DJONES17PTD4
Indianapolis records 400+ passing yards in a single game
kalshi · KXNFLTSPEC-27IND-PY400
Jonathan Taylor records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game
kalshi · KXNFLTSPEC-27IND-JTAYLOR28R75R75
Indianapolis allow 0 points in a single game
kalshi · KXNFLTSPEC-27IND-PTS0
Indianapolis records 8+ sacks in a single game
kalshi · KXNFLTSPEC-27IND-SACK8
Anthony Richardson Sr. records 750+ passing yards
kalshi · KXNFLTSPEC-27IND-ARICHARDSON5PY750
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.