SimpleFunctions

Above 75 · Beast of Reincarnation Metacritic score?: Above

Above 75 is priced at 87¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 81¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 13 inside Beast of Reincarnation Metacritic score?: Above.

Price history

87¢ current

+85¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jul 14, 2026Jul 20, 2026

Contract brief

If the Metascore for Beast of Reincarnation is Above 75 seven days after release at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 75

Rank

#9 of 13

Leader

Above 10 99¢

Range

1¢-99¢

Family volume

$1

Identifier

KXMC-BEA-75

Jul 26, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 22m ago

Implied probability

87¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 26, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 22m ago

Bid

81¢

Ask

91¢

Spread

10¢

Reported volume

$921

Family rank

#9 of 13

13 outcomes · Beast of Reincarnation Metacritic score?: Above

Closes

Aug 10, 2026

Family volume

$1

Orderbook snapshot

81 / 91¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
81¢100
47¢154
35¢200
34¢522
33¢45
AskSize
91¢100
97¢50
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Metascore for Beast of Reincarnation is Above 75 seven days after release at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 10, 2026

Identifier

KXMC-BEA-75

SF Signal
SF Index
5138.88
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

565.5%

IY (No)

10277.8%

Adj IY

5139%

CRI

4

Overround

5.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

565.5%
10277.8%
Adj IY
5139%
4
Overround
5.4%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Technicalguide

Computing Liquidity Availability Score from the Orderbook

Step-by-step guide to computing the Liquidity Availability Score in TypeScript and Python, with edge cases for thin orderbooks, missing data, and the warm-cron coverage limitation.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.