SimpleFunctions

Ben Whittaker to win Ben Whittaker vs Richard Rivera

Ben Whittaker is priced at 88¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 89¢ bid, 93¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Ben Whittaker vs Richard Rivera Winner.

Price history

88¢ current

+4¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jun 20, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Ben Whittaker wins the Ben Whittaker vs Richard Rivera boxing match originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Ben Whittaker

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Ben Whittaker 88¢

Range

7¢-88¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXBOXING-26JUN27WHITTARIVERA-WHITTA

Jun 25, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 16m ago

Implied probability

88¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 16m ago

Bid

89¢

Ask

93¢

Spread

24h volume

$431

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · Ben Whittaker vs Richard Rivera Winner

Closes

Jul 11, 2026

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

89 / 93¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
89¢19
88¢1.0K
86¢1.0K
85¢1.0K
84¢100
AskSize
93¢20
94¢1.0K
95¢1.8K
96¢2.2K
97¢222

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Ben Whittaker wins the Ben Whittaker vs Richard Rivera boxing match originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 11, 2026

Identifier

KXBOXING-26JUN27WHITTARIVERA-WHITTA

SF Signal
SF Index
18041.31
Regime
neutral

Event family

Ben Whittaker vs Richard Rivera Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$3K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Ben Whittaker 88¢

Current share

15%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

275.6%

IY (No)

18041.3%

Adj IY

18041%

CRI

8

RV

19339%

VR

9.55

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

275.6%
18041.3%
Adj IY
18041%
8
RV
19339%
VR
9.55
IAR
1.3/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.