Brisbane Lions to win Brisbane Lions vs West Coast Eagles
Brisbane Lions is priced at 92¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 89¢ bid, 90¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Brisbane Lions vs West Coast Eagles winner.
Price history
92¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If Brisbane Lions wins the Brisbane Lions vs West Coast Eagles professional AFL game originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Brisbane Lions
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Brisbane Lions 89¢
Range
9¢-89¢
Family volume
$222
Identifier
KXAFLGAME-26JUL180610BRIWCE-BRI
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
89¢
Ask
90¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$11
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · Brisbane Lions vs West Coast Eagles winner
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Family volume
$222
Orderbook snapshot
89 / 90¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Brisbane Lions wins the Brisbane Lions vs West Coast Eagles professional AFL game originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Identifier
KXAFLGAME-26JUL180610BRIWCE-BRI
Event family
Brisbane Lions vs West Coast Eagles winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$222
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Brisbane Lions 89¢
Current share
5%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.