SimpleFunctions

Bryson DeChambeau · KXLIVCOMPETE-27APR

Bryson DeChambeau is priced at 65¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 51¢ bid, 60¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 15 inside KXLIVCOMPETE-27APR.

Price history

65¢ current

9¢
25¢50¢75¢
Aug 24, 2026Sep 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Bryson DeChambeau competes in a LIV Golf Tournament in Q1 2027 (January 1, 2027 to March 31, 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Bryson DeChambeau

Rank

#5 of 15

Leader

Byeong Hun An 57¢

Range

3¢-57¢

Family volume

$968

Identifier

KXLIVCOMPETE-27APR-BDEC

Sep 23, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

65¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 23, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

51¢

Ask

60¢

Spread

24h volume

$2

Family rank

#5 of 15

15 outcomes · KXLIVCOMPETE-27APR

Closes

Apr 8, 2027

Family volume

$968

Orderbook snapshot

51 / 60¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
51¢100
36¢90
27¢38
11¢394
9¢1.1K
AskSize
60¢100
65¢5
75¢43
79¢60
80¢133

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Bryson DeChambeau competes in a LIV Golf Tournament in Q1 2027 (January 1, 2027 to March 31, 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Apr 8, 2027

Identifier

KXLIVCOMPETE-27APR-BDEC

SF Signal
SF Index
180.04
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

360.1%

IY (No)

95.6%

Adj IY

180%

CRI

2

Overround

3.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

360.1%
95.6%
Adj IY
180%
2
Overround
3.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.