Carlos Prates to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027: Carlos Prates · KXUFCTITLE-WW27
Carlos Prates to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027: Carlos Prates is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside KXUFCTITLE-WW27.
Price history
15¢ current
Contract brief
If Carlos Prates is the UFC Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Carlos Prates to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027: Carlos Prates
Rank
#2 of 7
Leader
Islam Makhachev to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027: Islam Makhachev 52¢
Range
1¢-52¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXUFCTITLE-WW27-CPRA
Sep 23, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
10¢
24h volume
$788
Family rank
#2 of 7
7 outcomes · KXUFCTITLE-WW27
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 16¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Carlos Prates is the UFC Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Identifier
KXUFCTITLE-WW27-CPRA
Event family
KXUFCTITLE-WW27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Islam Makhachev to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027: Islam Makhachev 52¢
Current share
65%
Islam Makhachev to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027: Islam Makhachev
kalshi · KXUFCTITLE-WW27-IMAK
Carlos Prates to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027: Carlos Prates
kalshi · KXUFCTITLE-WW27-CPRA
Michael Morales to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027: Michael Morales
kalshi · KXUFCTITLE-WW27-MMOR
Ian Machado Garry to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027: Ian Machado Garry
kalshi · KXUFCTITLE-WW27-IGAR
Belal Muhammad to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027: Belal Muhammad
kalshi · KXUFCTITLE-WW27-BMUH
Sean Brady to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027: Sean Brady
kalshi · KXUFCTITLE-WW27-SBRA
Shavkat Rakhmonov to be Welterweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027: Shavkat Rakhmonov
kalshi · KXUFCTITLE-WW27-SRAK
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.