SimpleFunctions

Markets · Category

Mentions prediction markets — speech, tweet, headline triggers.

700 Kalshi-classified live questions across 700 Kalshi contracts, $423,632 of 24h volume. 269 sit in coin-flip territory. 1,980 markets moved 5cents+ in the last 24h. Refreshed every 15 minutes.

Polymarket-side classification backfill is in flight — until shipped, see the cross-venue picture under /odds?category=mentions.

Category JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/category/mentions
Screen filter
GET/api/public/screen?category=mentions
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 24 Jun 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$423.6K+10%
min $229.6Kmax $1.3M
Breadth4%-10.0pp
min -23%max 22%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 11:45 UTC
Jun 17past 7d · UTCJun 24 · 10:23

Live contracts

700

24h volume

$423.6K

# series in cat

0

curated GO series

Contested

38%

30-70% prob

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

+89¢

KXMLBMENTION-26JUN26LADSD-OHTA

Mentions — liquidity topography (top 489 of 700 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = price changes / hour. Range: 0.3 → 4.0/h

$10$100$1,000$10,0001d7d30d90d4.02.10.3

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in Mentions

Showing top 20 of 700

Sortable across every numeric column — IY / Cliff / Edge / RVol / Resid / 24h vol — all bounded for readability, raw on hover.

What will the announcers say during Japan vs Sweden?: Turf / Pitch79¢
IY 626%Cliff 4Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$21.0K
What will the announcers say during Tunisia vs Netherlands?: Turf / Pitch10¢
IY >999%Cliff 9Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$18.6K
What will the announcers say during Switzerland vs Canada?: Qatar97¢
IY 79%Cliff 32Edge —RVol 125%Resid —$18.0K
What will the announcers say during Switzerland vs Canada?: Nutmeg / Meg14¢
IY >999%Cliff 6Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$12.2K
What will the announcers say during Switzerland vs Canada?: Gianni / Infantino8¢
IY >999%Cliff 12Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$10.6K
What will the announcers say during Switzerland vs Canada?: BC Place70¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$8.3K
What will Micron Technology, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Anthropic56¢
IY 151%Cliff 1Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$8.2K
What will the announcers say during Scotland vs Brazil?: Hard Rock Stadium3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$8.2K
What will the announcers say during Switzerland vs Canada?: Crossbar28¢
IY >999%Cliff 3Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$8.1K
What will the announcers say during Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar?: Lumen Field3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$7.9K
What will the announcers say during Switzerland vs Canada?: Trump5¢
IY >999%Cliff 19Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$7.0K
What will Micron Technology, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Inventory55¢
IY 157%Cliff 1Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$6.2K
Will Trump say "50,000" before Jun 29, 2026?: 50,00038¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$6.0K
What will the announcers say during Morocco vs Haiti?: Turf / Pitch14¢
IY >999%Cliff 6Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$5.8K
What will the announcers say during Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar?: Trump9¢
IY >999%Cliff 10Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$5.3K
What will the announcers say during Scotland vs Brazil?: Captain72¢
IY 982%Cliff 3Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$4.9K
What will the announcers say during Scotland vs Brazil?: Nutmeg / Meg12¢
IY >999%Cliff 7Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$4.9K
What will the announcers say during Switzerland vs Canada?: Assist76¢
IY 805%Cliff 3Edge —RVol 590%Resid —$4.6K
What will the announcers say during Switzerland vs Canada?: Hattrick / Hat Trick68¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 381%Resid —$4.1K
What will the announcers say during Switzerland vs Canada?: What a Save48¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 507%Resid —$4.0K
700 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in Mentions

From market_changes
6h agoKalshi
What will the announcers say during Dodgers vs Padres Professional Baseball Game?: Ohtani
92¢3→92 (+89)
open →
13h agoKalshi
What will the announcers say during Senegal vs Iraq?: Visa
85¢1→85 (+84)
open →
7h agoKalshi
What will the announcers say during Dodgers vs Padres Professional Baseball Game?: Trade / Traded
85¢1→85 (+84)
open →
13h agoKalshi
What will the announcers say during Norway vs France?: Visa
85¢1→85 (+84)
open →
13h agoKalshi
What will the announcers say during Norway vs France?: Captain
84¢1→84 (+83)
open →
7h agoKalshi
What will the announcers say during Uruguay vs Spain?: Visa
82¢1→82 (+81)
open →
7h agoKalshi
What will the announcers say during Egypt vs IR Iran?: Visa
82¢1→82 (+81)
open →
7h agoKalshi
What will the announcers say during New Zealand vs Belgium?: Comeback / Come Back
81¢1→81 (+80)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 24 Jun 2026 11:08:42 GMT.

All markets

Liquidity heatmap across both venues. /markets →

Cross-venue / Polymarket

Per-question parity map (includes Polymarket). /odds?category=mentions →

Filter & explore

IY / CRI / RV / VR cuts in this category. /screen?category=mentions →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →