Biden Crime Family · Will Trump say "
Biden Crime Family is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside Will Trump say ".
Price history
9¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Biden Crime Family, or a plural or possessive form of Biden Crime Family, is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Biden Crime Family
Rank
#14 of 16
Leader
Crooked Hillary 99¢
Range
5¢-99¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-BIDE
Aug 24, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
7¢
Ask
10¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$157
Family rank
#14 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Trump say "
Closes
Oct 1, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
7 / 10¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Biden Crime Family, or a plural or possessive form of Biden Crime Family, is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 1, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-BIDE
Event family
Will Trump say ".
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Crooked Hillary 99¢
Current share
12%
Crooked Hillary
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-CROO
Marjorie Traitor Greene
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-MARJ
Con Job
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-CON
Whack Job / Wack Job
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-WHAC
Trainwreck
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-TRAI
Slopadopolous / Slopadopolus
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-SLOP
Fat Slob
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-FAT
Piggy
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-PIGG
Numbskull
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-NUMB
Crazy Bernie
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-CRAZ
Low Energy
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-LOWE
Comrade Kamala
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-COMR
Rocket Man
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-ROCK
Biden Crime Family
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-BIDE
Egghead
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-EGGH
Tampon Tim
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01-TAMP
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.