Charros de Jalisco to win Charros de Jalisco vs Rieleros de Aguascalientes
Charros de Jalisco is priced at 88¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 89¢ ask, 71¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Charros de Jalisco vs Rieleros de Aguascalientes winner.
Price history
88¢ current
Contract brief
If Charros de Jalisco wins the Charros de Jalisco vs Rieleros de Aguascalientes Mexico LMB game originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026 at 9:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Charros de Jalisco
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Charros de Jalisco 18¢
Range
12¢-18¢
Family volume
$6
Identifier
KXLMBGAME-26JUL142130CDJRDA-CDJ
Jul 12, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
18¢
Ask
89¢
Spread
71¢
24h volume
$6
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · Charros de Jalisco vs Rieleros de Aguascalientes winner
Closes
Jul 17, 2026
Family volume
$6
Orderbook snapshot
18 / 89¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Charros de Jalisco wins the Charros de Jalisco vs Rieleros de Aguascalientes Mexico LMB game originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026 at 9:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 17, 2026
Identifier
KXLMBGAME-26JUL142130CDJRDA-CDJ
Event family
Charros de Jalisco vs Rieleros de Aguascalientes winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$6
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Charros de Jalisco 18¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 88% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.