SimpleFunctions

Minnesota to win Colorado vs Minnesota

Minnesota is priced at 61¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 58¢ bid, 61¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Colorado vs Minnesota Winner.

Price history

61¢ current

+15¢
50¢60¢
Jun 24, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Minnesota wins the Colorado vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Minnesota

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Minnesota 58¢

Range

36¢-58¢

Family volume

$145

Identifier

KXMLBGAME-26JUN262010COLMIN-MIN

Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 17m ago

Implied probability

61¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 17m ago

Bid

58¢

Ask

61¢

Spread

24h volume

$152

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · Colorado vs Minnesota Winner

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Family volume

$145

Orderbook snapshot

58 / 61¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
58¢1.1K
57¢5.0K
56¢6.0K
54¢1.3K
51¢2.3K
AskSize
61¢31
62¢415
63¢1.5K
64¢40
65¢564

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Minnesota wins the Colorado vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBGAME-26JUN262010COLMIN-MIN

SF Signal
SF Index
9268.44
Regime
neutral

Event family

Colorado vs Minnesota Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$145

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Minnesota 58¢

Current share

62%

Browse this series

MLB Game Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMLBGAME series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

1

VR

1.90

IAR

0.4/h

LAS

0.10

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1
VR
1.90
IAR
0.4/h
LAS
0.10

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.