SimpleFunctions

Tie to win Congo DR vs Uzbekistan

Tie is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Congo DR vs Uzbekistan Winner.

Price history

22¢ current

+10¢
25¢
May 26, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Tie wins the Congo DR vs Uzbekistan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Tie

Rank

#2 of 3

Leader

Congo DR 56¢

Range

21¢-56¢

Family volume

$59K

Identifier

KXWCGAME-26JUN27CODUZB-TIE

Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

22¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

22¢

Ask

23¢

Spread

24h volume

$3K

Family rank

#2 of 3

3 outcomes · Congo DR vs Uzbekistan Winner

Closes

Jul 11, 2026

Family volume

$59K

Orderbook snapshot

22 / 23¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
22¢173K
21¢56K
20¢8.0K
19¢13K
18¢250
AskSize
23¢165K
24¢107K
25¢31K
26¢44K
27¢17K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Tie wins the Congo DR vs Uzbekistan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 11, 2026

Identifier

KXWCGAME-26JUN27CODUZB-TIE

SF Signal
SF Index
3957.95
Regime
neutral

Event family

Congo DR vs Uzbekistan Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$59K

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Congo DR 56¢

Current share

5%

Browse this series

2026 FIFA World Cup Match Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXWCGAME series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

7915.9%

IY (No)

629.7%

Adj IY

3958%

CRI

4

Overround

-0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

7915.9%
629.7%
Adj IY
3958%
4
Overround
-0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.