SimpleFunctions

Curacao to win Curacao vs Ivory Coast

Curacao is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Curacao vs Ivory Coast Winner.

Price history

7¢ current

+3¢
0¢10¢
Apr 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Curacao wins the Curacao vs Ivory Coast professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Curacao

Rank

#3 of 3

Leader

Ivory Coast 72¢

Range

7¢-72¢

Family volume

$1

Identifier

KXWCGAME-26JUN25CUWCIV-CUW

May 28, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 16m ago

Implied probability

7¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 16m ago

Bid

Ask

10¢

Spread

Reported volume

$5

Family rank

#3 of 3

3 outcomes · Curacao vs Ivory Coast Winner

Closes

Jul 9, 2026

Family volume

$1

Orderbook snapshot

7 / 10¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
7¢474
6¢871
5¢2.3K
4¢1.3K
3¢2.5K
AskSize
10¢33
11¢165
12¢1.3K
13¢3.3K
15¢2.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Curacao wins the Curacao vs Ivory Coast professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 9, 2026

Identifier

KXWCGAME-26JUN25CUWCIV-CUW

SF Signal
SF Index
11479.23
Regime
neutral

Event family

Curacao vs Ivory Coast Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Ivory Coast 72¢

Current share

0%

Browse this series

2026 FIFA World Cup Match Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXWCGAME series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

11479.2%

IY (No)

65.0%

Adj IY

11479%

CRI

13

RV

1968%

VR

1.16

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

11479.2%
65.0%
Adj IY
11479%
13
RV
1968%
VR
1.16
IAR
0.4/h
Overround
-0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.