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Dec 1, 2026: Before Dec 1, 2026 · Dabo Swinney out before

Dec 1, 2026: Before Dec 1, 2026 is priced at 82¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 79¢ ask, 75¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside Dabo Swinney out before.

Price history

82¢ current

16¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Sep 8, 2026Sep 19, 2026

Contract brief

If the head coach of the Clemson college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Dec 1, 2026: Before Dec 1, 2026

Rank

#3 of 4

Leader

Jan 1, 2028: Before Jan 1, 2028 25¢

Range

3¢-25¢

Family volume

$312

Identifier

KXNCAAFCOACHLEAVE-26DSWI-120126

Sep 20, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 4m ago

Implied probability

82¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 20, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 4m ago

Bid

Ask

79¢

Spread

75¢

Reported volume

$297

Family rank

#3 of 4

4 outcomes · Dabo Swinney out before

Closes

Dec 1, 2026

Family volume

$312

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 79¢

Kalshi
75¢ spread
BidSize
4¢5
3¢43
AskSize
79¢5
80¢30
82¢22
83¢31
96¢138

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the head coach of the Clemson college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 1, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFCOACHLEAVE-26DSWI-120126

SF Signal
SF Index
8263.32
Regime
neutral

Event family

Dabo Swinney out before.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$312

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Jan 1, 2028: Before Jan 1, 2028 25¢

Current share

5%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

16526.6%

IY (No)

15.8%

Adj IY

8263%

CRI

32

Overround

-0.6%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

16526.6%
15.8%
Adj IY
8263%
32
Overround
-0.6%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.