Denver wins by over 7.5 points
Denver wins by over 7.5 points is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP14DENKC.
Price history
20¢ current
+16¢Contract brief
If Denver wins by more than 7.5 points in the Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Denver wins by over 7.5 points
Rank
#13 of 16
Leader
Kansas City wins by over 2.5 points 49¢
Range
5¢-49¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP14DENKC-DEN8
Aug 24, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
19¢
Spread
13¢
Reported volume
$30
Family rank
#13 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP14DENKC
Closes
Sep 17, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 19¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Denver wins by more than 7.5 points in the Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 17, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP14DENKC-DEN8
Event family
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP14DENKC.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Kansas City wins by over 2.5 points 49¢
Current share
0%
Kansas City wins by over 2.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP14DENKC-KC3
Kansas City wins by over 3.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP14DENKC-KC4
Denver wins by over 2.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP14DENKC-DEN3
Denver wins by over 6.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP14DENKC-DEN7
Denver wins by over 1.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP14DENKC-DEN2
Denver wins by over 3.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP14DENKC-DEN4
Denver wins by over 4.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP14DENKC-DEN5
Denver wins by over 5.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP14DENKC-DEN6
Kansas City wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP14DENKC-KC10
Kansas City wins by over 10.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP14DENKC-KC11
Kansas City wins by over 13.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP14DENKC-KC14
Denver wins by over 10.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP14DENKC-DEN11
Denver wins by over 7.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP14DENKC-DEN8
Denver wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP14DENKC-DEN10
Denver wins by over 13.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP14DENKC-DEN14
Denver wins by over 14.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP14DENKC-DEN15
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.