SimpleFunctions

Diego Pacheco to win Diego Pacheco vs Immanuwel Aleem

Diego Pacheco is priced at 94¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 92¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Diego Pacheco vs Immanuwel Aleem Winner.

Price history

94¢ current

+92¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jul 11, 2026Jul 13, 2026

Contract brief

If Diego Pacheco wins the Diego Pacheco vs Immanuwel Aleem boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Diego Pacheco

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Diego Pacheco 92¢

Range

6¢-92¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXBOXING-26JUL18PACHECALEEM-PACHEC

Jul 13, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 7m ago

Implied probability

94¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 13, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 7m ago

Bid

92¢

Ask

94¢

Spread

24h volume

$1K

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · Diego Pacheco vs Immanuwel Aleem Winner

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

92 / 94¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
92¢1
87¢4
86¢1.0K
85¢14
84¢1.0K
AskSize
94¢1.0K
95¢717
96¢1.0K
97¢1.1K
98¢84

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Diego Pacheco wins the Diego Pacheco vs Immanuwel Aleem boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Identifier

KXBOXING-26JUL18PACHECALEEM-PACHEC

SF Signal
SF Index
21643.46
Regime
neutral

Event family

Diego Pacheco vs Immanuwel Aleem Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$2K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Diego Pacheco 92¢

Current share

48%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

167.3%

IY (No)

22123.5%

Adj IY

21643%

CRI

12

RV

213%

VR

1.60

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

167.3%
22123.5%
Adj IY
21643%
12
RV
213%
VR
1.60
IAR
1.0/h
LAS
0.02

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.