Egypt wins by more than 2.5 goals
Egypt wins by more than 2.5 goals is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26EGYIRI.
Price history
5¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If Egypt wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Egypt vs Iran professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Egypt wins by more than 2.5 goals
Rank
#3 of 4
Leader
Egypt wins by more than 1.5 goals 16¢
Range
1¢-16¢
Family volume
$22K
Identifier
KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26EGYIRI-EGY3
Jun 25, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$5K
Family rank
#3 of 4
4 outcomes · KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26EGYIRI
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$22K
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 6¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Egypt wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Egypt vs Iran professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26EGYIRI-EGY3
Event family
KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26EGYIRI.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$22K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Egypt wins by more than 1.5 goals 16¢
Current share
22%
Egypt wins by more than 1.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26EGYIRI-EGY2
Iran wins by more than 1.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26EGYIRI-IRI2
Egypt wins by more than 2.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26EGYIRI-EGY3
Iran wins by more than 2.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26EGYIRI-IRI3
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.