To Advance for England vs Argentina
England advances is priced at 55¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 54¢ bid, 55¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside England vs Argentina: To Advance.
Price history
55¢ current
Contract brief
If England advance past Argentina in the England vs Argentina soccer match in the Semifinal of the FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
England advances
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
England advances 54¢
Range
45¢-54¢
Family volume
$1.6M
Identifier
KXWCADVANCE-26JUL15ENGARG-ENG
Jul 13, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
54¢
Ask
55¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$439K
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · England vs Argentina: To Advance
Closes
Aug 12, 2026
Family volume
$1.6M
Orderbook snapshot
54 / 55¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If England advance past Argentina in the England vs Argentina soccer match in the Semifinal of the FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 12, 2026
Identifier
KXWCADVANCE-26JUL15ENGARG-ENG
Event family
England vs Argentina: To Advance.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1.6M
Outcomes
2
Highest price
England advances 54¢
Current share
28%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.