score or assist for Erling Haaland
Erling Haaland is priced at 45¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 43¢ bid, 44¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 7 inside KXWCSOA-26JUN26NORFRA.
Price history
45¢ current
+22¢Contract brief
If Erling Haaland records a goal or assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Norway vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Erling Haaland
Rank
#3 of 7
Leader
Kylian Mbappe 52¢
Range
6¢-52¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXWCSOA-26JUN26NORFRA-NOREHAALA9
Jun 25, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
43¢
Ask
44¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#3 of 7
7 outcomes · KXWCSOA-26JUN26NORFRA
Closes
Jul 10, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
43 / 44¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Erling Haaland records a goal or assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Norway vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 10, 2026
Identifier
KXWCSOA-26JUN26NORFRA-NOREHAALA9
Event family
KXWCSOA-26JUN26NORFRA.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Kylian Mbappe 52¢
Current share
25%
Kylian Mbappe
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUN26NORFRA-FRAKMBAPP10
Michael Olise
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUN26NORFRA-FRAMOLISE17
Erling Haaland
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUN26NORFRA-NOREHAALA9
Ousmane Dembele
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUN26NORFRA-FRAODEMBE10
Desire Doue
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUN26NORFRA-FRADDOUE14
Martin Odegaard
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUN26NORFRA-NORMODEGA8
Antonio Nusa
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUN26NORFRA-NORANUSA7
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Event Probability API
Read 45% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.