Espanyol to win Espanyol vs Levante
Espanyol is priced at 47¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 45¢ bid, 48¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Espanyol vs Levante Winner.
Price history
47¢ current
+44¢Contract brief
If Espanyol wins the Espanyol vs Levante professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Espanyol
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Espanyol 45¢
Range
22¢-45¢
Family volume
$26
Identifier
KXLALIGAGAME-26AUG16ESPLEV-ESP
Aug 9, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
45¢
Ask
48¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$8
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Espanyol vs Levante Winner
Closes
Aug 18, 2026
Family volume
$26
Orderbook snapshot
45 / 48¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Espanyol wins the Espanyol vs Levante professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 18, 2026
Identifier
KXLALIGAGAME-26AUG16ESPLEV-ESP
Event family
Espanyol vs Levante Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$26
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Espanyol 45¢
Current share
31%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.