Fear & Greed Index on Aug 21, 2026
Fear is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 5 inside Fear & Greed Index on Aug 21, 2026.
Price history
27¢ current
+25¢Contract brief
If the first value update after 4:00 PM ET on Aug 21, 2026 is Fear, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Fear
Rank
#2 of 5
Leader
Greed 26¢
Range
1¢-26¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXFEAR-26AUG21-FEAR
Aug 9, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
25¢
Ask
31¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$913
Family rank
#2 of 5
5 outcomes · Fear & Greed Index on Aug 21, 2026
Closes
Aug 28, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
25 / 31¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the first value update after 4:00 PM ET on Aug 21, 2026 is Fear, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 28, 2026
Identifier
KXFEAR-26AUG21-FEAR
Event family
Fear & Greed Index on Aug 21, 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Greed 26¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.