SimpleFunctions

Oct 1, 2026: Before Oct 1, 2026 · Greg Schiano out before

Oct 1, 2026: Before Oct 1, 2026 is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 85¢ ask, 78¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside Greg Schiano out before.

Price history

99¢ current

95¢100¢
Sep 18, 2026Sep 18, 2026

Contract brief

If the head coach of the Rutgers college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Oct 1, 2026: Before Oct 1, 2026

Rank

#3 of 4

Leader

Feb 1, 2027: Before Feb 1, 2027 81¢

Range

2¢-81¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNCAAFCOACHLEAVE-26GSCH-100126

Sep 18, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

99¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 18, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

Ask

85¢

Spread

78¢

Reported volume

$294

Family rank

#3 of 4

4 outcomes · Greg Schiano out before

Closes

Oct 1, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

7 / 85¢

Kalshi
78¢ spread
BidSize
7¢10
6¢5
AskSize
85¢10
98¢12
99¢990

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the head coach of the Rutgers college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 1, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFCOACHLEAVE-26GSCH-100126

SF Signal
SF Index
22290.22
Regime
neutral

Event family

Greg Schiano out before.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Feb 1, 2027: Before Feb 1, 2027 81¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

44580.4%

IY (No)

181.6%

Adj IY

22290%

CRI

16

Overround

-0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

44580.4%
181.6%
Adj IY
22290%
16
Overround
-0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.