SimpleFunctions

Los Angeles G to win Houston vs Los Angeles G

Los Angeles G is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Houston vs Los Angeles G Winner.

Price history

21¢ current

5¢
20¢30¢
Aug 3, 2026Aug 6, 2026

Contract brief

If Los Angeles G wins the Houston vs Los Angeles G professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Los Angeles G

Rank

#2 of 3

Leader

Houston 60¢

Range

19¢-60¢

Family volume

$110

Identifier

KXMLSGAME-26AUG15HOULAG-LAG

Aug 7, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

21¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 7, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

20¢

Ask

21¢

Spread

24h volume

$82

Family rank

#2 of 3

3 outcomes · Houston vs Los Angeles G Winner

Closes

Aug 18, 2026

Family volume

$110

Orderbook snapshot

20 / 21¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
20¢48
19¢74
18¢69
16¢500
15¢999
AskSize
21¢159
22¢252
23¢115
37¢2.5K
38¢703

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Los Angeles G wins the Houston vs Los Angeles G professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 18, 2026

Identifier

KXMLSGAME-26AUG15HOULAG-LAG

SF Signal
SF Index
13748.94
Regime
neutral

Event family

Houston vs Los Angeles G Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$110

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Houston 60¢

Current share

74%

Browse this series

MLS Match Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMLSGAME series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

13748.9%

IY (No)

859.3%

Adj IY

13749%

CRI

4

RV

438%

VR

0.36

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

13748.9%
859.3%
Adj IY
13749%
4
RV
438%
VR
0.36
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
-0.0%

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.