Tie to win Houston vs Los Angeles G
Tie is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Houston vs Los Angeles G Winner.
Price history
22¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If Tie is the result of the Houston vs Los Angeles G professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tie
Rank
#3 of 3
Leader
Houston 56¢
Range
21¢-56¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXMLSGAME-26AUG15HOULAG-TIE
Aug 9, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
21¢
Ask
22¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$47
Family rank
#3 of 3
3 outcomes · Houston vs Los Angeles G Winner
Closes
Aug 18, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
21 / 22¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tie is the result of the Houston vs Los Angeles G professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 18, 2026
Identifier
KXMLSGAME-26AUG15HOULAG-TIE
Event family
Houston vs Los Angeles G Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Houston 56¢
Current share
3%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.